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| | #1 | |
| Seasoned Activist ![]() ![]() Join Date: Sep 2003
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| The essay that follows is a speech given on the floor of the House of Representatives by Congressman Ron Paul of Texas. I consider it to be must reading for anyone who wants to understand what has happened and what is happening to the US dollar. See the original article here: http://goldmoney.com/en/commentary/2006-02-20.html http://www.house.gov/paul/index.shtml http://www.house.gov/paul/congrec/co...6/cr021506.htm Quote:
In my opinion, the dollar's strength today is really no different than the strong dollar of the Roaring 20's. All roars come to a halt. Its the last few clickity clicks of the roller coaster ride comming over the top. You swing up, it slows down, it can't quite make it by itself, so there is a little help to keep it going up by dropping interest rates, but it all comes swinging back down again and faster because the help it got to go high enough to get over the top. All the indicators are there. You just need to be in the first few cars so you can see it coming sooner and plan ahead, not just go for the ride and not know which way your going to get tossed next.
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| | #2 |
| Jr. Member ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Apr 2001
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| He is trying to stir up fear of a pending economic collapse to futher his own political objectives. |
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| | #3 | |
| Web Developer ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2003
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| | #4 |
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| Ron Paul has been the only consistant voice against continueing government intervention in the economy. Ron Paul's political objective is liberty. If fear is what it takes to motivate the people to wake up and secure some of their wealth before the international fraud of fiat money and the boom-bust cycle takes it all , then fear it is. We need more leaders like him, that are brave enough to offer a clear and intelligent dissenting opinion in todays oppressive political atmosphear.
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| | #5 | |
| Seasoned Activist ![]() ![]() Join Date: Sep 2003
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That doesn't automatically make his point or his facts invalid. I'm surprised that you dismiss what he's saying solely because of his motivations, Happy. I guess in ten years or so, we'll know whether the pending economic collapse was really coming or not, won't we? I've discussed it in other threads, but I'll run through again some of the main reasons I feel an economic collapse is not only likely, but a near certainty: 1. Social security, medicare, and other government programs are deeply in the red. The only reason they haven't been declared bankrupt yet is because they pay the benefits for current withdrawers out the revenue from future depositors, aka a ponzi scheme. 2. Not only is the national debt at its highest level in history, but the national deficit is as well. 3. As the article above points out, our system of backing our money by debt relies upon confidence in the dollar. This means that negative turns in the economy have a large potential to avalanche, or create a downward spiral of economic regression. 4. America has a negative savings rate (people are spending MORE than they are earning, as a national average) for the first time since the Great Depression. 5. Household consumer debt is around 80% of the gross domestic product, the highest level in history. (Which means that the average household's level of debt is 80% of what it makes in a year) 6. The stock market is a leading indicator of many other markets in our economy, including real estate, commodities, etc. Any bad news in an economic market of any kind (with a few exceptions) is likely to be reflected on the stock market first. 7. In 2012, the first baby boomer reaches retirement age. For the first time, the US will enter a period wherein those withdrawing from social security outnumber those depositing into it. 8. Around 2016, the first baby boomer turns 70-and-a-half. Current 401(k) laws dictate MANDATORY withdrawals of 401(k) once you reach that age. 9. Tens of millions of baby boomers will receive reduced social security checks (or none at all), and if they don't decide to sustain themselves by withdrawing their 401(k)s, the government will force them to do it anyway shortly after they turn 70. 10. Tens of millions of baby boomers withdrawing their 401(k)s is going to have a VERY SIGNIFICANT impact on the stock market, whose bullish nature of the last 10-15 years (with the exception of the dot-com bust) has existed primarily because of the massive amounts of investments in mutual funds -- all in 401(k)s. 11. Average life expectancy is increasing, causing more and more Americans to live far past the retirement age. Everyone has living expenses whether you're 80 or 8. 12. Healthcare costs are increasing and are going to continue to increase as life expectancy rises. 13. Our educational system is woefully outdated, not even teaching the basics of financial literacy. It is an industrial-age education system, designed to train people to "go to college, get good grades, and find a safe, secure job with a big company". That worked great with pension plans, however pension plans (defined benefit or DB plans) have been replaced by 401(k) plans (defined contribution or DC plans). Many, if not most, people with a 401(k) or IRA lost about 30% of their equity or more in the year 2000 alone, which was not really that big a bust, more like a large correction. "Investors" and "retirement planners" and "financial advisors" tell everyone that that's the best time to put MORE into it! Dollar cost averaging, the stock market goes up 8% a year on average (averaged over 100 years), and to invest for the long term -- buy, hold, and diversify. Well, investing for the long term is fine for someone like me who was 20 in 2000, but what about the people who are 60? Is dollar cost averaging going to provide for their retirement living expenses when they lost 30% of their equity or more in a few months? 14. Our children have gotten accustomed to the luxurious lifestyle of living on credit, in the suburbs, with an SUV and big-screen TV. Our society is the epitome of instant gratification, and our children simply don't grasp the concept of sacrificing today to make a better tomorrow. These are not political statements, for the most part these are facts. Does anyone have any facts to suggest our economy WON'T collapse (or at least enter a depression that makes the 30s look like the roaring 20s)? Because I don't see any. The rich are getting richer, and the rich will just move their money to Europe or China or India when it's no longer feasible here in the US. What about the other 250 million Americans? I suspect that in fifteen years, the world is going to ask, "How can there be so many poor people in the richest country on Earth?" | |
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| | #6 |
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| Some more good reading: Now, as Iraq threatens to explode in internal chaos, it is important to rethink the entire postwar monetary order anew. The present French-German-Russian alliance to create a counterweight to the United States requires not merely a French-led version of the Petro-dollar system, some Petro-euro system, that continues the bankrupt American Century, only with a French accent, and euros replacing dollars. That would only continue to destroy living standards across the world, adding to human waste and soaring unemployment in industrial as well as developing nations. We must entirely rethink what began briefly with some economists during the 1998 Asia crisis, the basis of a new monetary system which supports human development, and does not destroy http://www.currentconcerns.ch/archiv...4/20030409.php The Iranian government has finally developed the ultimate “nuclear” weapon that can swiftly destroy the financial system underpinning the American Empire. That weapon is the Iranian Oil Bourse slated to open in March 2006. It will be based on a euro-oil-trading mechanism that naturally implies payment for oil in Euro. In economic terms, this represents a much greater threat to the hegemony of the dollar than Saddam’s, because it will allow anyone willing either to buy or to sell oil for Euro to transact on the exchange, thus circumventing the U.S. dollar altogether. If so, then it is likely that almost everyone will eagerly adopt this euro oil system: http://www.energybulletin.net/12125.html |
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| | #7 | |
| Web Developer ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2003
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| I especially liked these parts... Quote:
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